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Median vs. Mean Lawyer Salaries: Is Law School Worth It?

A recent article in the Wall Street Journal (WSJ), "Hard Case: Job Market Wanes for U.S. Lawyers", reported on the large number of law school graduates suffering under large debt with surprisingly low salary prospects.

If only these prospective law students had been reading this blog. They would have understood the difference between median and mean, and that only 10% of students can be in the 90th percentile of salaries :-)

While the Wall Street Journal focused on the somewhat misleading marketing done by second tier law schools, in truth there is plenty of data available, e.g., from PayScale's research center, on just how low the typical median starting lawyer salaries are.

In this post, I'll look at lawyers salaries: the top, the bottom, and the middle. Yes, for specific skill sets and employers, the attorney salaries are still good. That pay just is not the typical (median) law student's experience.

Is your salary above or below the median for people like you? Find out with the PayScale Salary Calculator.

Attorney Salaries in Pictures

Everyone likes to talk about the top performers:

However, only a small fraction of all CEOs, athletes, and starting lawyers get the top salaries. By definition, half get below the median. For athletes, the median pay is $0 per year - most are not paided to play. Law graduates are not so far behind :-)

Fortunately, data on the typical starting lawyer salaries are easy to come by. In addition to PayScale's data, the National Association for Law Placement (NALP), while criticized in the WSJ article for letting law schools report only a fraction of their graduates pay (sample bias), actually gives some pretty straight forward answers.

For example, NALP has a press release, "A Picture Worth 1000 Words", that shows exactly the distribution of starting full-time salaries for law graduates in the class of 2006. Here is the graph:

Talk about a distribution that is not well described by a "typical" value like the median or mean!

Mean Salary, Median Salary, Mode Salary

As the WSJ article points out, this NALP data are likely still biased towards higher pay. For example:

  • The chart only captures the income of half (22,000 of 43,000) of all law graduates; students who are more highly paid are more likely to report their income - lawyers are competitive people.
  • The chart only shows law graduates who are working full-time as lawyers; it does not include those who wish they were, but are underemployed as contract temps or unemployed.

Even with those caveats, the chart shows a pretty bleak employment picture for the majority of new law graduates:

  • Mode: The most common (mode) pay is ~$42,000 per year, on par with the median (typical) college grad. Second most common? $135,000!
  • Median: half make less than $62,000/year (median)
  • Mean: The "average" (mean) pay is ~$80,000/year, and is nearly the least common pay for starting lawyers (lowest point on the graph)!

No Typical Starting Attorney Salary

All this variation says describing the "typical" law graduate is impossible. There are several distinct subgroups who go on to very different jobs and pay.

In this, lawyers are typical of a fairly large number of professional positions with widely varying levels of productivity and compensation. Describing the kind of lawyer a law graduate becomes requires more information than just the job title of Attorney or Lawyer.

There are huge variations in pay of lawyers with practice area, work setting, etc. There are about 1,000,000 lawyers in the US, with about 40,000 new ones added each year.

Yale, Harvard, and Stanford only graduate ~1000 law students per year, so the “top 3” law schools represent less than 2.5% of the practicing lawyers. The pay for these graduates, and other top 10th percentile graduates, may be solid six figures, but that is far from the "typical" law graduate pay.

People often have their own assumptions of what the “typical” lawyer is. These assumptions usually are atypical, like assuming all lawyers are like Harvard Law grads.

For example, the "typical" (median) starting lawyer in Seattle is close to the national median salary of $60,000. However, if we focus on lawyers at larger law firms doing mergers and acquisitions, the starting pay jumps up to a median of $88,000/year, according to PayScale data, with the top tier making over $100,000, as is common nationally.

This is a long-winded way of saying it is not possible to talk about the "typical" law graduate, and his/her pay, just as it is impossible to talk about the "typical" bachelor's degree recipient. There is just too much variation for typical to be meaningful.

How does your salary compare to starting lawyers? The PayScale Salary Calculator is a quick and easy way to compare positions. When you want powerful salary data and comparisons customized for your exact position, be sure to build a complete profile by taking PayScale's full salary survey.

Cheers,

Dr. Al Lee

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Comments

This is a great article with valuable links. It is always disconcerting when statistical data is manipulated to prove a desired outcome, when in fact the reality is far from that outcome. And these links are also very valuable. Thank you.

Informative post. Although, it sounds like you underestimate those prospective law students in regard to their research. Even considering the median and means can be misleading when schools manipulate the statistics with unrepresentative samples and disingenuous categorizing.

The problem is compounded when others use the schools shaky information to publish guides to inform students. After looking at "reputable" source after source people begin to buy into the salary hype until they experience the job market first-hand. There should be more accountability in the information reported.

It's really been the furor of bloggers that has uncovered a lot of the misrepresentation issues concerning law school. As a result there is more information to form better decisions for prospective students if they're willing to dig deep enough into the blogosphere. The media also would help prospective student expectations a lot if they stopped reporting about those outrageous associate salaries as if they're typical. The Wall Street Journal has been doing a better job than most. I appreciate their candor but their pessimistic advice to students bothers me.

Amazing article, honestly it's only a matter of time before this blog will be very popular with much more comments then it has now. You should also add a "click here to read more" because on the front page I thought the whole article was displayed there.

Mea culpa, I should have read more carefully, I found the "click here to read more..."

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Al Lee, "Doctor Salary", is the Director of Quantitative Analysis for PayScale, Inc. He has over 20 years of experience in statistical analysis and holds a PhD in Physics from Yale University. Why a blog about salaries?
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